McCormick & Company, Incorporated

MKC · Consumer Defensive · · USD

52.08 USD

0.00 (-0.95%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 35

Momentum 48

Fundamental 62

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	35.4	30%
Momentum	48.4	15%
Fundamental	62.2	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	41.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	52.08
Stop Loss	49.18 (5.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	54.98 (+5.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	57.88 (+11.1%)

ATR(14)	1.45 (2.8%)
Risk per Share	2.90
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	78.7	+1.15
Momentum	48.4	-0.07
Quality	47.1	-0.12
Composite	58.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.89 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.7	18.0	-52% below
P/B Ratio	2.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.7%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

136.30

Market Price

52.08

Upside

+161.7%

Margin of Safety	+61.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,530,381,622
Terminal Value PV	27,097,221,492
Total Enterprise Value	34,627,603,114

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,221,497,161
Growth Rate (5yr)	16.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

24.01%

Full Kelly

12.01%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

42.27

RSI(14)

0.253

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+6.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+8.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	42.27	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.253	BEARISH
Ma Cross	52.81 / 56.36	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.17x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	72.41
Bollinger Upper	56.72
SMA(200)	56.36
SMA(50)	52.81
SMA(20)	54.35
Current Price	52.08
Bollinger Lower	51.98
52-Week Low	44.82
ATR(14)	1.45

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.41x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	53.77	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	53.63	Base line
Senkou A	53.70	Leading span A
Senkou B	51.83	Leading span B
Cloud	51.83 – 53.70	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	52.08	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	50.90	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL