McCormick & Company, Incorporated
MKC · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
31
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
26
Momentum
47
Fundamental (0%)
62
Macro
24
Liquidity
52
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 26.1 | 20% |
| Momentum | 47.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 61.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 51.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 47.65 |
| Stop Loss | 44.43 (6.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 50.87 (+6.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 54.09 (+13.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.61 (3.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.22 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 79.6 | +1.18 | |
| Momentum | 47.3 | -0.11 | |
| Quality | 42.8 | -0.29 | |
| Composite | 56.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.83
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 9.1 | 18.0 | -50% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.9 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
128.91
vs
Market Price
50.06
Upside
+157.5%
| Margin of Safety | +61.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 7,073,908,658 |
| Terminal Value PV | 25,739,044,285 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 32,812,952,943 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,126,092,105 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 17.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
16.74%
Full Kelly
8.37%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 31/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
49.88
RSI(14)
0.3873
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
15
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-4.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (56d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -17.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 49.88 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.3873 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 48.14 / 51.98 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 72.41 |
| Bollinger Upper | 50.42 |
| SMA(200) | 51.98 |
| SMA(50) | 48.14 |
| SMA(20) | 47.18 |
| Current Price | 50.06 |
| Bollinger Lower | 43.94 |
| 52-Week Low | 43.25 |
| ATR(14) | 1.61 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.78x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 48.41 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 47.10 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 47.75 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 48.93 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 47.75 – 48.93 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 47.65 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 44.20 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 43.94 – 50.42 | KC: 44.87 – 49.49
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 46.40
Anchor: 2026-10-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+2.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MKC
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 13.47B |
| P/E (TTM) | 9.05 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.92 |
| EPS | 5.53 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 17.4% |
| Profit Margin | 19.4% |
| ROE | 22.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 66.14 |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.67 |
Trading Data
50.06
Open
50.06
Day High
50.06
Day Low
4.09M
Volume (1.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)