The Mosaic Company

MOS · Basic Materials · · USD

25.85 USD

+0.00 (1.41%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 81

Momentum 61

Fundamental 35

Macro 64

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	80.7	10%
Momentum	61.1	5%
Fundamental	34.9	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	44.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	25.85
Stop Loss	23.65 (8.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	28.05 (+8.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	30.25 (+17.0%)

ATR(14)	1.10 (4.3%)
Risk per Share	2.20
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.7	+1.51
Momentum	61.1	+0.44
Quality	14.4	-1.42
Composite	54.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.38 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	0.7	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

33.3%

Full Kelly

16.65%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 51/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

67.08

RSI(14)

0.7834

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+11.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 2d since high
Sector Outperformance	+16.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	67.08	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.7834	BULLISH
Ma Cross	22.73 / 24.26	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.09x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	36.99
Bollinger Upper	26.39
SMA(200)	24.26
SMA(50)	22.73
SMA(20)	23.54
Current Price	25.85
Bollinger Lower	20.68
52-Week Low	19.80
ATR(14)	1.1

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.15x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.26x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	24.81	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	23.56	Base line
Senkou A	24.19	Leading span A
Senkou B	23.37	Leading span B
Cloud	23.37 – 24.19	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	25.85	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	22.12	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH