The Mosaic Company

MOS · Basic Materials · · USD

26.41 USD

+0.00 (2.17%)

● Updated 2026-09-08 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 84

Momentum 62

Fundamental 11

Macro 65

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	84.3	30%
Momentum	62.4	15%
Fundamental	11.1	10%
Macro	64.7	20%
Liquidity	35.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	26.34
Stop Loss	24.16 (8.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	28.52 (+8.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	30.70 (+16.6%)

ATR(14)	1.09 (4.1%)
Risk per Share	2.18
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	97.6	+1.90
Momentum	62.4	+0.50
Quality	14.4	-1.42
Composite	58.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 1 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	0.7	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

42.98%

Full Kelly

21.49%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

69.44

RSI(14)

0.874

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+19.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance	+22.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	69.44	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.874	BULLISH
Ma Cross	22.81 / 24.28	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.67x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	36.99
Bollinger Upper	26.8
SMA(200)	24.28
SMA(50)	22.81
SMA(20)	23.68
Current Price	26.41
Bollinger Lower	20.56
52-Week Low	19.80
ATR(14)	1.09

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.26x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08	Normal	0.67x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	25.10	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	23.85	Base line
Senkou A	24.48	Leading span A
Senkou B	23.65	Leading span B
Cloud	23.65 – 24.48	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	26.34	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	21.81	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH