The Mosaic Company
MOS · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
41
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
40
Momentum
70
Fundamental
28
Macro
22
Liquidity
69
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 40.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 70.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 27.5 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 68.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 22.33 |
| Stop Loss | 20.41 (8.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 24.25 (+8.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 26.17 (+17.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.96 (4.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.92 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 83.7 | +1.35 | |
| Momentum | 64.1 | +0.57 | |
| Quality | 10.5 | -1.58 | |
| Composite | 52.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.19
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 0.6 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.82%
Full Kelly
12.91%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
65.12
RSI(14)
-0.2748
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
25
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+2.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (42d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -0.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 65.12 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.2748 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 21.71 / 23.44 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.66x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 32.25 |
| Bollinger Upper | 21.21 |
| SMA(200) | 23.44 |
| SMA(50) | 21.71 |
| SMA(20) | 18.75 |
| Current Price | 22.33 |
| Bollinger Lower | 16.28 |
| 52-Week Low | 16.99 |
| ATR(14) | 0.96 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 20.03 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 19.74 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 19.89 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 21.86 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 19.89 – 21.86 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 22.33 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 21.55 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 16.28 – 21.21 | KC: 17.49 – 20.01
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 19.05
Anchor: 2026-10-22 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+17.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MOS
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 7.10B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.63 |
| EPS | -3.54 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -10.2% |
| Profit Margin | -9.4% |
| ROE | -9.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 53.37 |
| Current Ratio | 1.50 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.86 |
Trading Data
22.33
Open
22.33
Day High
22.33
Day Low
19.12M
Volume (2.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)