MSCI Inc.
MSCI · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
75
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
94
Momentum
81
Fundamental
72
Macro
22
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 93.5 | 30% |
| Momentum | 80.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 72.2 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 69.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 655.91 |
| Stop Loss | 622.51 (5.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 689.31 (+5.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 722.71 (+10.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 16.70 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 33.40 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 23.2 | -1.07 | |
| Momentum | 73.6 | +0.94 | |
| Quality | 54.6 | +0.19 | |
| Composite | 50.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
7.04
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.7 | 18.0 | +93% above |
| P/B Ratio | -15.6 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
361.18
vs
Market Price
655.91
Upside
-44.9%
| Margin of Safety | -81.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 6,035,524,729 |
| Terminal Value PV | 20,222,065,000 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 26,257,589,729 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,099,805,600 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 12.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
48.91%
Full Kelly
24.46%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
69.53
RSI(14)
23.8131
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
83
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+21.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +11.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 69.53 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 23.8131 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 573.93 / 572.22 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.53x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 681.04 |
| Bollinger Upper | 670.82 |
| SMA(200) | 572.22 |
| SMA(50) | 573.93 |
| SMA(20) | 603.38 |
| Current Price | 655.91 |
| Bollinger Lower | 535.95 |
| 52-Week Low | 501.08 |
| ATR(14) | 16.7 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.53x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.53x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 640.79 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 608.19 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 624.49 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 607.25 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 607.25 – 624.49 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 655.91 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 545.39 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 535.95 – 670.82 | KC: 578.87 – 627.89
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 25 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 572.37
Anchor: 2026-02-12 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+14.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MSCI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 47.68B |
| P/E (TTM) | 34.69 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -15.59 |
| EPS | 18.91 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 12.4% |
| Profit Margin | 40.3% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 0.82 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.19 |
Trading Data
655.91
Open
655.91
Day High
655.91
Day Low
1.05M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)