MSCI Inc.

MSCI · Financial Services · · USD

573.01 USD

0.00 (-0.29%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 53

Momentum 51

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 46

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	52.8	30%
Momentum	51.0	15%
Fundamental	44.4	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	45.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	573.01
Stop Loss	546.99 (4.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	599.03 (+4.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	625.05 (+9.1%)

ATR(14)	13.01 (2.3%)
Risk per Share	26.02
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	41.5	-0.34
Momentum	51.0	+0.04
Quality	55.6	+0.23
Composite	49.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	31.4	18.0	+74% above
P/B Ratio	-15.5	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	1.4%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

346.32

Market Price

573.01

Upside

-39.6%

Margin of Safety	-65.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,802,741,405
Terminal Value PV	19,375,052,876
Total Enterprise Value	25,177,794,281

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,063,164,808
Growth Rate (5yr)	12.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

38.18%

Full Kelly

19.09%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

52.07

RSI(14)

-1.452

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-11.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (36d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-14.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	52.07	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.452	BULLISH
Ma Cross	577.12 / 569.32	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.88x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	644.77
Bollinger Upper	577.62
SMA(200)	569.32
SMA(50)	577.12
SMA(20)	565.83
Current Price	573.01
Bollinger Lower	554.04
52-Week Low	501.08
ATR(14)	13.01

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	565.78	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	565.68	Base line
Senkou A	565.73	Leading span A
Senkou B	591.43	Leading span B
Cloud	565.73 – 591.43	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	573.01	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	570.20	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL