Micron Technology, Inc.
MU · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
50
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
64
Momentum
19
Fundamental
78
Macro
24
Liquidity
99
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 64.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 19.3 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 98.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 656.39 |
| Stop Loss | 540.39 (17.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 772.39 (+17.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 888.39 (+35.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 58.00 (8.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 116.00 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 70.1 | +0.81 | |
| Momentum | 17.6 | -1.30 | |
| Quality | 93.5 | +1.74 | |
| Composite | 60.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 8.8 | 28.0 | -68% below |
| P/B Ratio | 5.4 | 6.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 9.0% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
2316.73
vs
Market Price
656.39
Upside
+253.0%
| Margin of Safety | +71.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 516,909,036,918 |
| Terminal Value PV | 2,104,298,372,034 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 2,621,207,408,952 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 67,278,954,672 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
32.21%
Full Kelly
16.1%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
27.05
RSI(14)
-54.3653
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
97
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-20.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (25d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -30.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 27.05 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -54.3653 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 966.44 / 755.06 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.62x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 1255.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 1052.98 |
| SMA(200) | 755.06 |
| SMA(50) | 966.44 |
| SMA(20) | 895.93 |
| Current Price | 656.39 |
| Bollinger Lower | 738.89 |
| 52-Week Low | 192.59 |
| ATR(14) | 58.0 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.73x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.23x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.62x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 820.00 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 878.91 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 849.46 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 879.27 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 849.46 – 879.27 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 656.39 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 1097.22 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 738.89 – 1052.98 | KC: 811.89 – 979.97
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 11 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 687.08
Anchor: 2025-11-21 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-4.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MU
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 742.65B |
| P/E (TTM) | 8.83 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.36 |
| EPS | 74.33 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.8% |
| Profit Margin | 63.8% |
| ROE | 88.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 3.74 |
| Current Ratio | 3.31 |
| Dividend Yield | 9.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 2.40 |
Trading Data
656.39
Open
656.39
Day High
656.39
Day Low
76.14M
Volume (2.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)