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Micron Technology, Inc.

MU · Technology · · USD
795.33 USD
+0.00 (6.50%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 11:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

83
/ 100
Technical 67
Trend & RS 100
Momentum 100
Fundamental 78
Macro 65
Liquidity 79
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 66.7 20%
Trend & RS 100.0 30%
Momentum 100.0 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 65.1 20%
Liquidity 79.2 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 795.33
Stop Loss 712.09 (10.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 878.57 (+10.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 961.81 (+20.9%)
ATR(14) 41.62 (5.2%)
Risk per Share 83.24
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 13.8 -1.45
Momentum 100.0 +2.00
Quality 89.4 +1.58
Composite 67.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 37.6 28.0 +34% above
P/B Ratio 12.4 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 8.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
659.52
vs
Market Price
795.33
Upside
-17.1%
Margin of Safety -20.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)146,672,005,479
Terminal Value PV597,090,861,857
Total Enterprise Value743,762,867,336

Assumptions

Base FCF19,090,281,855
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
53.21%
Full Kelly
26.6%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 83/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.0%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

4
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
85.84
RSI(14)
78.3051
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

99
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+100.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance +66.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 85.84 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 78.3051 BULLISH
Ma Cross 456.56 / 293.87 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger UPPER BAND
Volume 1.59x HIGH

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High818.67
Bollinger Upper749.11
SMA(200)293.87
SMA(50)456.56
SMA(20)543.83
Current Price795.33
Bollinger Lower338.55
52-Week Low90.93
ATR(14)41.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 3.5  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 1.45x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 1.26x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 1.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.47x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.59x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 660.62 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 591.38 Base line
Senkou A 626.00 Leading span A
Senkou B 565.08 Leading span B
Cloud 565.08 – 626.00 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 795.33 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 377.76 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 338.55 – 749.11  |  KC: 484.49 – 603.17

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish MACD 11

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 297.07 Anchor: 2025-05-09 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +167.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/MU

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap896.92B
P/E (TTM)37.59
Forward P/EN/A
P/B12.38
EPS21.16

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth2.0%
Profit Margin41.5%
ROE39.8%
Debt/Equity14.90
Current Ratio2.90
Dividend Yield8.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.92

Trading Data

795.33
Open
795.33
Day High
795.33
Day Low
69.12M
Volume (1.6x avg)

Recent News (8)

Stock market today: Dow rises, S&P 500 and Nasdaq eke out records as chip stocks extend gains
Yahoo Finance · 2026-05-10
Dow Jones Futures: Techs Fall As South Korea Eyes Excess AI Profits; CPI Inflation Due
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-05-12
Micron vs. Sandisk: Which Memory Stock Is the Better Buy Right Now?
Motley Fool · 2026-05-12
Micron (MU) Draws Bullish Call as AI Memory Demand Reshapes Growth Outlook
Insider Monkey · 2026-05-11
How Do You Know When to Sell a Winning Stock?
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Micron Stock Has Been Soaring—Traders Are Pricing In More Big Moves This Week
Investopedia · 2026-05-11
Micron Stock Extends Hot Streak. AI Supercycle Sends Chip Stocks Soaring
GuruFocus.com · 2026-05-11
Stocks to Watch: Moderna, Lumentum, Intel, Fox
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-05-11

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —