Micron Technology, Inc.

MU · Technology · · USD

982.25 USD

0.00 (-0.95%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 100

Momentum 87

Fundamental 89

Macro 71

Liquidity 50

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	100.0	30%
Momentum	86.6	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	71.2	20%
Liquidity	50.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	974.09
Stop Loss	801.43 (17.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	1146.75 (+17.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	1319.41 (+35.5%)

ATR(14)	86.33 (8.9%)
Risk per Share	172.66
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	37.8	-0.49
Momentum	86.6	+1.46
Quality	94.5	+1.78
Composite	73.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 108.87 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	21.3	28.0	-24% below
P/B Ratio	15.3	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	5.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

1378.57

Market Price

982.25

Upside

+40.3%

Margin of Safety	+28.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	307,034,350,104
Terminal Value PV	1,249,914,079,539
Total Enterprise Value	1,556,948,429,643

Assumptions

Base FCF	39,962,447,255
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

53.48%

Full Kelly

26.74%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 84/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.0%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

48.78

RSI(14)

19.0087

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+120.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (10d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+115.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	48.78	NEUTRAL
Macd	19.0087	BEARISH
Ma Cross	898.82 / 464.27	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.15x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	1255.00
Bollinger Upper	1223.71
SMA(200)	464.27
SMA(50)	898.82
SMA(20)	1053.18
Current Price	982.25
Bollinger Lower	882.65
52-Week Low	103.38
ATR(14)	86.33

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION C Confidence

56%

Spring (potential)

Acc: 2.5 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.15x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	1030.08	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	1054.51	Base line
Senkou A	1042.30	Leading span A
Senkou B	871.48	Leading span B
Cloud	871.48 – 1042.30	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	974.09	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	1079.40	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL