Netflix, Inc.
NFLX · Communication Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
27
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
30
Momentum
20
Fundamental (0%)
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
68
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 30.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 19.8 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 68.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 65.56 |
| Stop Loss | 61.48 (6.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 69.64 (+6.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 73.72 (+12.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.04 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 4.08 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 40.8 | -0.37 | |
| Momentum | 19.8 | -1.21 | |
| Quality | 65.3 | +0.61 | |
| Composite | 42.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
12.02
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.9 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 9.2 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 1.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
64.49
vs
Market Price
65.56
Upside
-1.6%
| Margin of Safety | -1.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 61,364,156,851 |
| Terminal Value PV | 203,472,882,348 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 264,837,039,199 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 11,366,310,100 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
13.13%
Full Kelly
6.57%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 27/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.6%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
45.12
RSI(14)
-2.0656
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-6.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic) |
| RS New High | No (45d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -7.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 45.12 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.0656 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 71.36 / 81.14 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.08x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 116.73 |
| Bollinger Upper | 73.78 |
| SMA(200) | 81.14 |
| SMA(50) | 71.36 |
| SMA(20) | 66.59 |
| Current Price | 65.56 |
| Bollinger Lower | 59.4 |
| 52-Week Low | 61.39 |
| ATR(14) | 2.04 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 64.44 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 67.23 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 65.83 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 72.50 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 65.83 – 72.50 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 65.56 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 67.85 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 59.4 – 73.78 | KC: 63.47 – 69.71
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 63.61
Anchor: 2026-10-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/NFLX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 269.21B |
| P/E (TTM) | 18.95 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.19 |
| EPS | 3.46 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.8% |
| Profit Margin | 29.7% |
| ROE | 53.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 59.86 |
| Current Ratio | 1.07 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.61 |
Trading Data
65.56
Open
65.56
Day High
65.56
Day Low
49.61M
Volume (1.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)