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Netflix, Inc.

NFLX · Communication Services · · USD
78.25 USD
0.00 (-5.35%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

37
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 36
Momentum 38
Fundamental (0%) 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 60
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 40%
Trend & RS 36.1 20%
Momentum 37.5 20%
Fundamental 66.7 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 60.4 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 78.25
Stop Loss 73.45 (6.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 83.05 (+6.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 87.85 (+12.3%)
ATR(14) 2.40 (3.1%)
Risk per Share 4.80
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 28.2 -0.87
Momentum 37.5 -0.50
Quality 64.9 +0.60
Composite 43.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 24.6 18.0 +37% above
P/B Ratio 10.8 3.0 Above

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
63.24
vs
Market Price
78.25
Upside
-19.2%
Margin of Safety -23.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)59,735,308,776
Terminal Value PV203,593,931,488
Total Enterprise Value263,329,240,264

Assumptions

Base FCF10,593,062,558
Growth Rate (5yr)13.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
22.59%
Full Kelly
11.29%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 37/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
49.16
RSI(14)
1.6616
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

15
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-9.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance -7.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 49.16 NEUTRAL
Macd 1.6616 BEARISH
Ma Cross 75.44 / 86.88 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.43x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High126.70
Bollinger Upper84.38
SMA(200)86.88
SMA(50)75.44
SMA(20)79.31
Current Price78.25
Bollinger Lower74.24
52-Week Low65.08
ATR(14)2.4

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION B Confidence
67%
Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)
Acc: 2.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.1x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.75x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.79x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.43x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 80.91 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 77.35 Base line
Senkou A 79.13 Leading span A
Senkou B 74.34 Leading span B
Cloud 74.34 – 79.13 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 78.25 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 71.71 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 74.24 – 84.38  |  KC: 75.77 – 82.85

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish MACD 13
Hidden Bearish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 74.16 Anchor: 2026-07-17 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +5.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/NFLX

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap325.83B
P/E (TTM)24.61
Forward P/EN/A
P/B10.81
EPS3.18

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth13.4%
Profit Margin28.2%
ROE49.5%
Debt/Equity55.24
Current Ratio1.14
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.53

Trading Data

78.25
Open
78.25
Day High
78.25
Day Low
40.19M
Volume (1.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

Is Netflix Stock More Likely to Hit $100 or $60 by the End of 2026?
Motley Fool · 2026-09-07
Investors Heavily Search Netflix, Inc. (NFLX): Here is What You Need to Know
Zacks · 2026-09-07
Netflix Has Momentum Despite Being Down in 2026. One Analyst’s Price Target Implies 70% Upside
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-07
Netflix Has No Dividend. Here's Why Long-Term Investors Should Own It Anyway.
Motley Fool · 2026-09-07
Netflix raises UK prices with cheapest plan up by a third
PA Media: Money · 2026-09-07
Billionaire Bill Ackman Sells Alphabet Stock and Buys a Mega-Cap Stock Down 42% From Its High
Motley Fool · 2026-09-07
Netflix Raised U.K. Prices Again. History Says a Netflix Price Increase Has Never Cost It a Year of Revenue Growth.
Motley Fool · 2026-09-06
Is Duolingo the Next Netflix-Style Comeback Story?
MarketBeat · 2026-09-05

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —