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Northrop Grumman Corporation

NOC · Industrials · · USD
514.98 USD
0.00 (-2.51%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

53
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 50
Momentum 23
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 51
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 10%
Trend & RS 49.9 10%
Momentum 23.1 5%
Fundamental 66.7 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 51.0 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 514.98
Stop Loss 489.06 (5.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 540.90 (+5.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 566.82 (+10.1%)
ATR(14) 12.96 (2.5%)
Risk per Share 25.92
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 68.5 +0.74
Momentum 23.1 -1.08
Quality 44.7 -0.21
Composite 45.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 16.4 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 4.1 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.9% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
443.88
vs
Market Price
514.98
Upside
-13.8%
Margin of Safety -16.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)16,052,505,118
Terminal Value PV47,006,657,873
Total Enterprise Value63,059,162,991

Assumptions

Base FCF3,576,578,612
Growth Rate (5yr)5.1%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
34.45%
Full Kelly
17.22%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
34.62
RSI(14)
-6.6541
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

74
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-9.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High No (13d since high)
Sector Outperformance -5.2% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 34.62 NEUTRAL
Macd -6.6541 BEARISH
Ma Cross 541.54 / 597.69 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.35x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High774.00
Bollinger Upper596.96
SMA(200)597.69
SMA(50)541.54
SMA(20)554.11
Current Price514.98
Bollinger Lower511.27
52-Week Low479.02
ATR(14)12.96

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.13x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.74x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.12x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.29x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.35x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 531.82 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 552.18 Base line
Senkou A 542.00 Leading span A
Senkou B 534.33 Leading span B
Cloud 534.33 – 542.00 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 514.98 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 540.02 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 511.27 – 596.96  |  KC: 535.59 – 572.64

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 9

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 544.43 Anchor: 2026-07-21 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -5.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/NOC

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap73.16B
P/E (TTM)16.36
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.09
EPS31.47

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth5.1%
Profit Margin10.5%
ROE27.0%
Debt/Equity95.35
Current Ratio1.17
Dividend Yield1.9%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta-0.11

Trading Data

514.98
Open
514.98
Day High
514.98
Day Low
741.8K
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —