ServiceNow, Inc.
NOW · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
41
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
45
Momentum
29
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
69
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 45.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 29.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 68.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 102.36 |
| Stop Loss | 87.08 (14.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 117.64 (+14.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 132.92 (+29.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 7.64 (7.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 15.28 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 9.9 | -1.60 | |
| Momentum | 26.5 | -0.94 | |
| Quality | 29.6 | -0.82 | |
| Composite | 22.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 73.6 | 28.0 | +163% above |
| P/B Ratio | 8.1 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
36.54
vs
Market Price
102.36
Upside
-64.3%
| Margin of Safety | -180.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 7,875,512,001 |
| Terminal Value PV | 30,052,505,231 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 37,928,017,232 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,154,163,744 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 20.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.25%
Full Kelly
12.62%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
27.84
RSI(14)
-8.2876
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-13.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (9d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -23.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 27.84 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -8.2876 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 137.02 / 114.57 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.28x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 175.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 176.89 |
| SMA(200) | 114.57 |
| SMA(50) | 137.02 |
| SMA(20) | 135.93 |
| Current Price | 102.36 |
| Bollinger Lower | 94.96 |
| 52-Week Low | 81.24 |
| ATR(14) | 7.64 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
64%
Sign of Weakness
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.75x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.28x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 130.55 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 130.65 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 130.60 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 130.65 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 130.60 – 130.65 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 102.36 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 137.76 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 94.96 – 176.89 | KC: 124.06 – 147.79
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 111.25
Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-8.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/NOW
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 106.24B |
| P/E (TTM) | 73.64 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 8.11 |
| EPS | 1.39 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 20.5% |
| Profit Margin | 9.4% |
| ROE | 11.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 64.26 |
| Current Ratio | 0.72 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.98 |
Trading Data
102.36
Open
102.36
Day High
102.36
Day Low
24.86M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)