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Norfolk Southern Corporation

NSC · Industrials · · USD
329.46 USD
+0.00 (0.50%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

55
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 65
Momentum 63
Fundamental 56
Macro 64
Liquidity 44
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 10%
Trend & RS 64.6 10%
Momentum 62.6 5%
Fundamental 55.6 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 44.3 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 329.46
Stop Loss 316.08 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 342.84 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 356.22 (+8.1%)
ATR(14) 6.69 (2.0%)
Risk per Share 13.38
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 53.0 +0.12
Momentum 62.6 +0.50
Quality 41.8 -0.33
Composite 52.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 28.1 18.0 +56% above
P/B Ratio 4.5 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.6% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
215.11
vs
Market Price
329.46
Upside
-34.7%
Margin of Safety -53.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)11,255,531,526
Terminal Value PV37,061,066,692
Total Enterprise Value48,316,598,218

Assumptions

Base FCF2,107,724,976
Growth Rate (5yr)11.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
36.34%
Full Kelly
18.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
40.02
RSI(14)
-0.2533
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

61
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+0.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (30d since high)
Sector Outperformance +5.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 40.02 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.2533 BEARISH
Ma Cross 334.41 / 306.77 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.6x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High358.60
Bollinger Upper357.42
SMA(200)306.77
SMA(50)334.41
SMA(20)340.8
Current Price329.46
Bollinger Lower324.17
52-Week Low268.23
ATR(14)6.69

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.01x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.35x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.98x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.01x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.6x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 340.52 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 340.52 Base line
Senkou A 340.52 Leading span A
Senkou B 329.66 Leading span B
Cloud 329.66 – 340.52 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 329.46 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 334.16 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 324.17 – 357.42  |  KC: 331.15 – 350.44

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish RSI 16
Hidden Bullish RSI 20
Hidden Bullish RSI 27

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 300.93 Anchor: 2025-09-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +9.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/NSC

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap74.00B
P/E (TTM)28.09
Forward P/EN/A
P/B4.55
EPS11.73

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth11.4%
Profit Margin21.0%
ROE17.0%
Debt/Equity105.52
Current Ratio0.83
Dividend Yield1.6%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.27

Trading Data

329.46
Open
329.46
Day High
329.46
Day Low
627.5K
Volume (0.5x avg)

Recent News (8)

102 Dems to STB: Put labor first in UP-NS rail merger review
FreightWaves · 2026-09-04
Union Pacific (UNP) Merger Review Deadline Was Extended, Is The Stock Still 12% Below Fair Value?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-03
Union Pacific Sees Norfolk Southern Merger Closing by Late 2027 as STB Review Advances
MarketBeat · 2026-09-01
Why Industrial Stocks Could Keep Losing Steam
Barrons.com · 2026-08-31
Union Pacific (UNP) is Winning the Railroad Race. Can Norfolk Southern (NSC) Catch Up through the Merger?
Insider Monkey · 2026-08-28
Union Pacific, Norfolk Southern defend rail merger application as STB review advances
FreightWaves · 2026-08-27
Norfolk Southern, Wabtec set locomotive upgrades to AC power
FreightWaves · 2026-08-26
Officials Played Down Risks in Ohio Train Disaster, Residents Now Say
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-08-25

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —