Realty Income Corporation
O · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
54
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
61
Momentum
49
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
64
Liquidity
51
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 61.3 | 20% |
| Momentum | 48.6 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 51.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 61.25 |
| Stop Loss | 59.61 (2.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 62.89 (+2.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 64.53 (+5.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.82 (1.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.64 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 50.8 | +0.03 | |
| Momentum | 48.6 | -0.06 | |
| Quality | 39.2 | -0.43 | |
| Composite | 46.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 44.7 | 18.0 | +148% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.5 | 1.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 5.3% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
23.34
vs
Market Price
61.25
Upside
-61.9%
| Margin of Safety | -162.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 5,271,534,447 |
| Terminal Value PV | 16,808,640,103 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 22,080,174,550 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,037,054,997 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 9.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
35.5%
Full Kelly
17.75%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
40.49
RSI(14)
-0.3879
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
65
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-2.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (27d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +3.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.49 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.3879 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 62.86 / 60.54 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.96x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 67.94 |
| Bollinger Upper | 63.11 |
| SMA(200) | 60.54 |
| SMA(50) | 62.86 |
| SMA(20) | 62.02 |
| Current Price | 61.25 |
| Bollinger Lower | 60.93 |
| 52-Week Low | 55.86 |
| ATR(14) | 0.82 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 61.85 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 62.77 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 62.31 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 63.55 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 62.31 – 63.55 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 61.25 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 63.59 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
8 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 60.93 – 63.11 | KC: 60.93 – 63.12
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 60.10
Anchor: 2025-11-04 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/O
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 57.96B |
| P/E (TTM) | 44.71 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.47 |
| EPS | 1.37 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 9.6% |
| Profit Margin | 20.9% |
| ROE | 3.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 74.72 |
| Current Ratio | 1.53 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.71 |
Trading Data
61.25
Open
61.25
Day High
61.25
Day Low
5.08M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)