Oracle Corporation

ORCL · Technology · · USD

158.78 USD

+0.00 (3.08%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 40

Trend & RS 33

Momentum 46

Fundamental (0%) 50

Macro 64

Liquidity 59

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	40.0	40%
Trend & RS	32.8	20%
Momentum	46.5	20%
Fundamental	50.0	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	58.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	158.78
Stop Loss	145.24 (8.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	172.32 (+8.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	185.86 (+17.1%)

ATR(14)	6.77 (4.3%)
Risk per Share	13.54
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	29.2	-0.83
Momentum	46.5	-0.14
Quality	62.8	+0.51
Composite	46.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.22 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.2	28.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	12.2	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.3%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

153.86

Market Price

158.78

Upside

-3.1%

Margin of Safety	-3.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	91,915,012,994
Terminal Value PV	351,266,397,735
Total Enterprise Value	443,181,410,729

Assumptions

Base FCF	13,434,516,744
Growth Rate (5yr)	20.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

28.27%

Full Kelly

14.14%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.97

RSI(14)

2.5367

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-30.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Technology)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-19.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.97	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.5367	BULLISH
Ma Cross	139.75 / 167.92	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	1.16x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	345.72
Bollinger Upper	158.25
SMA(200)	167.92
SMA(50)	139.75
SMA(20)	148.31
Current Price	158.78
Bollinger Lower	138.38
52-Week Low	114.50
ATR(14)	6.77

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	149.71	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	142.70	Base line
Senkou A	146.20	Leading span A
Senkou B	139.84	Leading span B
Cloud	139.84 – 146.20	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	158.78	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	129.87	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH