Oracle Corporation
ORCL · Technology · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
26
/ 100
Technical
20
Trend & RS
43
Momentum
7
Fundamental (0%)
47
Macro
24
Liquidity
77
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 20.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 43.3 | 20% |
| Momentum | 7.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 47.0 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 77.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 115.16 |
| Stop Loss | 98.44 (14.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 131.88 (+14.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 148.60 (+29.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.36 (7.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 16.72 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 57.9 | +0.32 | |
| Momentum | 7.1 | -1.72 | |
| Quality | 64.0 | +0.56 | |
| Composite | 43.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.92
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.1 | 28.0 | -36% below |
| P/B Ratio | 5.6 | 6.0 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
198.85
vs
Market Price
115.16
Upside
+72.7%
| Margin of Safety | +42.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 122,259,045,039 |
| Terminal Value PV | 497,707,509,583 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 619,966,554,622 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 15,912,781,867 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
11.65%
Full Kelly
5.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
37.83
RSI(14)
-4.4813
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
70
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-16.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (42d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -26.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 37.83 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -4.4813 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 139.51 / 154.71 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.33x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 250.25 |
| Bollinger Upper | 145.98 |
| SMA(200) | 154.71 |
| SMA(50) | 139.51 |
| SMA(20) | 130.62 |
| Current Price | 115.16 |
| Bollinger Lower | 115.26 |
| 52-Week Low | 111.66 |
| ATR(14) | 8.36 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.38x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 130.07 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 130.07 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 130.07 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 140.87 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 130.07 – 140.87 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 115.16 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 137.56 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 115.26 – 145.98 | KC: 118.09 – 143.16
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 18 | |
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 18 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 23 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 139.25
Anchor: 2026-08-13 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-17.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ORCL
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 359.04B |
| P/E (TTM) | 18.05 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.63 |
| EPS | 6.38 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 29.6% |
| Profit Margin | 26.4% |
| ROE | 41.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 251.72 |
| Current Ratio | 1.17 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.78 |
Trading Data
115.16
Open
115.16
Day High
115.16
Day Low
56.41M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)