Otis Worldwide Corporation

OTIS · Industrials · · USD

71.21 USD

0.00 (-0.38%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 27

Momentum 41

Fundamental (0%) 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 46

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	40%
Trend & RS	27.1	20%
Momentum	41.0	20%
Fundamental	44.4	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	45.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	71.21
Stop Loss	68.61 (3.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	73.81 (+3.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	76.41 (+7.3%)

ATR(14)	1.30 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	2.60
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	70.4	+0.82
Momentum	41.0	-0.36
Quality	24.9	-1.00
Composite	45.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	18.3	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	-4.7	3.0	Inline
Dividend Yield	2.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

60.21

Market Price

71.21

Upside

-15.4%

Margin of Safety	-18.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,651,769,758
Terminal Value PV	17,268,877,462
Total Enterprise Value	22,920,647,220

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,184,642,963
Growth Rate (5yr)	7.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

11.75%

Full Kelly

5.88%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 26/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.5%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.98

RSI(14)

-0.2856

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-2.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+1.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.98	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.2856	BEARISH
Ma Cross	72.05 / 79.11	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.91x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	94.56
Bollinger Upper	73.37
SMA(200)	79.11
SMA(50)	72.05
SMA(20)	71.72
Current Price	71.21
Bollinger Lower	70.07
52-Week Low	69.16
ATR(14)	1.3

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	71.35	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	72.22	Base line
Senkou A	71.79	Leading span A
Senkou B	72.15	Leading span B
Cloud	71.79 – 72.15	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	71.21	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	71.52	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH