Occidental Petroleum Corporation

OXY · Energy · · USD

60.04 USD

0.00 (-0.94%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 22:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 97

Momentum 59

Fundamental (0%) 69

Macro 64

Liquidity 48

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	96.8	20%
Momentum	58.8	20%
Fundamental	68.9	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	48.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	60.04
Stop Loss	57.22 (4.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	62.86 (+4.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	65.68 (+9.4%)

ATR(14)	1.41 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	2.82
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	81.5	+1.26
Momentum	58.8	+0.35
Quality	49.3	-0.03
Composite	63.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.56 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.7	10.0	+77% above
P/B Ratio	1.8	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.9%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

105.66

Market Price

60.04

Upside

+76.0%

Margin of Safety	+43.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	20,828,934,708
Terminal Value PV	84,793,049,194
Total Enterprise Value	105,621,983,902

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,711,016,550
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.64%

Full Kelly

23.82%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

56.82

RSI(14)

1.0868

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+1.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (11d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-13.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	56.82	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.0868	BEARISH
Ma Cross	56.12 / 52.14	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.97x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	67.45
Bollinger Upper	61.8
SMA(200)	52.14
SMA(50)	56.12
SMA(20)	59.61
Current Price	60.04
Bollinger Lower	57.42
52-Week Low	38.80
ATR(14)	1.41

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.25x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	59.44	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	57.91	Base line
Senkou A	58.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	54.96	Leading span B
Cloud	54.96 – 58.67	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	60.04	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	57.07	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH