Occidental Petroleum Corporation
OXY · Energy · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
59
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
75
Momentum
43
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 75.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 43.2 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 40% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 65.9 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 56.36 |
| Stop Loss | 52.70 (6.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 60.02 (+6.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 63.68 (+13.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.83 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.66 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 81.5 | +1.26 | |
| Momentum | 43.2 | -0.27 | |
| Quality | 49.3 | -0.03 | |
| Composite | 58.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.0 | 10.0 | +60% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.7 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
109.71
vs
Market Price
56.36
Upside
+94.7%
| Margin of Safety | +48.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 21,627,684,518 |
| Terminal Value PV | 88,044,700,465 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 109,672,384,983 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,814,978,850 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.71%
Full Kelly
19.36%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
33.41
RSI(14)
-0.0947
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
87
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+6.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.41 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.0947 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 60.06 / 56.02 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.47x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 67.45 |
| Bollinger Upper | 65.8 |
| SMA(200) | 56.02 |
| SMA(50) | 60.06 |
| SMA(20) | 61.69 |
| Current Price | 56.36 |
| Bollinger Lower | 57.59 |
| 52-Week Low | 38.80 |
| ATR(14) | 1.83 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.45x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 60.41 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 60.23 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 60.32 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 59.86 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 59.86 – 60.32 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 56.36 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 57.84 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 57.59 – 65.8 | KC: 59.1 – 64.29
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 54.47
Anchor: 2025-12-16 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/OXY
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 56.34B |
| P/E (TTM) | 16.01 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.68 |
| EPS | 3.52 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 53.4% |
| Profit Margin | 30.3% |
| ROE | 10.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 34.51 |
| Current Ratio | 1.41 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.15 |
Trading Data
56.36
Open
56.36
Day High
56.36
Day Low
13.24M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)