The Procter & Gamble Company

PG · Consumer Defensive · · USD

146.44 USD

0.00 (-0.33%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 64

Momentum 48

Fundamental 83

Macro 64

Liquidity 53

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	64.0	30%
Momentum	48.4	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	52.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	146.44
Stop Loss	141.52 (3.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	151.36 (+3.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	156.28 (+6.7%)

ATR(14)	2.46 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	4.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	51.4	+0.06
Momentum	48.4	-0.06
Quality	47.5	-0.10
Composite	49.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 8.45 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	22.1	18.0	+23% above
P/B Ratio	6.4	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	3.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

81.72

Market Price

146.44

Upside

-44.2%

Margin of Safety	-79.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	50,621,903,460
Terminal Value PV	139,192,167,313
Total Enterprise Value	189,814,070,773

Assumptions

Base FCF	12,300,872,564
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

45.92%

Full Kelly

22.96%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

52.81

RSI(14)

0.0897

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-4.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (51d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-1.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	52.81	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0897	BULLISH
Ma Cross	146.3 / 145.83	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.63x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	167.25
Bollinger Upper	147.73
SMA(200)	145.83
SMA(50)	146.3
SMA(20)	144.97
Current Price	146.44
Bollinger Lower	142.21
52-Week Low	137.62
ATR(14)	2.46

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	145.43	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	144.98	Base line
Senkou A	145.21	Leading span A
Senkou B	146.94	Leading span B
Cloud	145.21 – 146.94	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	146.44	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	144.49	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL