The Procter & Gamble Company
PG · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
73
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
88
Momentum
85
Fundamental
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
79
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 87.9 | 30% |
| Momentum | 84.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 78.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 167.10 |
| Stop Loss | 160.62 (3.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 173.58 (+3.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 180.06 (+7.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.24 (1.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.48 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 42.7 | -0.29 | |
| Momentum | 77.0 | +1.08 | |
| Quality | 47.3 | -0.11 | |
| Composite | 55.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.2 | 18.0 | +40% above |
| P/B Ratio | 7.1 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
89.36
vs
Market Price
167.10
Upside
-46.5%
| Margin of Safety | -87.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 53,589,357,405 |
| Terminal Value PV | 153,523,757,920 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 207,113,115,325 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 12,312,064,355 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 4.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
47.58%
Full Kelly
23.79%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
69.27
RSI(14)
4.2878
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
69
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+20.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +6.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 69.27 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 4.2878 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 150.77 / 147.33 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.52x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 170.52 |
| Bollinger Upper | 168.4 |
| SMA(200) | 147.33 |
| SMA(50) | 150.77 |
| SMA(20) | 159.01 |
| Current Price | 167.10 |
| Bollinger Lower | 149.61 |
| 52-Week Low | 137.62 |
| ATR(14) | 3.24 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.09x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.31x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.52x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 163.96 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 156.49 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 160.22 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 155.72 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 155.72 – 160.22 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 167.10 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 143.00 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 149.61 – 168.4 | KC: 154.08 – 163.94
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 11 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 147.29
Anchor: 2026-01-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+13.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/PG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 387.30B |
| P/E (TTM) | 25.17 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 7.13 |
| EPS | 6.64 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 4.0% |
| Profit Margin | 18.2% |
| ROE | 29.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 70.34 |
| Current Ratio | 0.72 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.36 |
Trading Data
167.10
Open
167.10
Day High
167.10
Day Low
16.24M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)