Palantir Technologies Inc.
PLTR · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
62
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
75
Momentum
76
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
64
Liquidity
55
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 74.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 75.6 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 55.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 174.33 |
| Stop Loss | 157.27 (9.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 191.39 (+9.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 208.45 (+19.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.53 (4.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 17.06 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0.0 | -2.00 | |
| Momentum | 75.6 | +1.02 | |
| Quality | 98.7 | +1.95 | |
| Composite | 58.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 149.0 | 28.0 | +432% above |
| P/B Ratio | 42.9 | 6.0 | Above |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
36.47
vs
Market Price
174.33
Upside
-79.1%
| Margin of Safety | -378.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 17,281,246,950 |
| Terminal Value PV | 70,350,675,316 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 87,631,922,266 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,249,262,727 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
41.07%
Full Kelly
20.54%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
54.16
RSI(14)
8.06
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
61
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+23.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +34.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 54.16 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 8.06 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 149.89 / 151.37 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.84x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 207.52 |
| Bollinger Upper | 187.21 |
| SMA(200) | 151.37 |
| SMA(50) | 149.89 |
| SMA(20) | 176.92 |
| Current Price | 174.33 |
| Bollinger Lower | 166.63 |
| 52-Week Low | 106.37 |
| ATR(14) | 8.53 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 0.78x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 177.04 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 154.00 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 165.52 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 147.37 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 147.37 – 165.52 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 174.33 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 123.06 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
2 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 166.63 – 187.21 | KC: 165.27 – 188.57
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 5 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 9 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 11 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 27 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 147.44
Anchor: 2026-06-25 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+18.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 418.93B |
| P/E (TTM) | 149.00 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 42.85 |
| EPS | 1.17 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 92.8% |
| Profit Margin | 49.0% |
| ROE | 38.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 2.14 |
| Current Ratio | 7.23 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.62 |
Trading Data
174.33
Open
174.33
Day High
174.33
Day Low
27.96M
Volume (0.7x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)