Pool Corporation
POOL · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
60
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
52
Momentum
81
Fundamental
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
42
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 52.1 | 10% |
| Momentum | 80.7 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 41.7 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 216.66 |
| Stop Loss | 201.54 (7.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 231.78 (+7.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 246.90 (+14.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 7.56 (3.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 15.12 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 53.9 | +0.16 | |
| Momentum | 80.7 | +1.23 | |
| Quality | 57.1 | +0.28 | |
| Composite | 63.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.62
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.9 | 18.0 | +10% above |
| P/B Ratio | 6.3 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
125.39
vs
Market Price
216.66
Upside
-42.1%
| Margin of Safety | -72.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,309,456,912 |
| Terminal Value PV | 3,169,906,302 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 4,479,363,214 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 311,496,712 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 3.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
39.77%
Full Kelly
19.89%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
72.02
RSI(14)
12.2422
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
30
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+10.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +8.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 72.02 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 12.2422 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 177.04 / 199.47 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.76x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 278.17 |
| Bollinger Upper | 229.66 |
| SMA(200) | 199.47 |
| SMA(50) | 177.04 |
| SMA(20) | 187.04 |
| Current Price | 216.66 |
| Bollinger Lower | 144.43 |
| 52-Week Low | 152.70 |
| ATR(14) | 7.56 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
100%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.18x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.59x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.76x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 206.74 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 187.76 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 197.25 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 187.76 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 187.76 – 197.25 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 216.66 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 160.67 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 144.43 – 229.66 | KC: 175.55 – 198.54
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 186.75
Anchor: 2026-10-08 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+16.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/POOL
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 7.74B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.88 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 6.31 |
| EPS | 10.90 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.7% |
| Profit Margin | 7.3% |
| ROE | 30.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 123.76 |
| Current Ratio | 2.46 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.94 |
Trading Data
216.66
Open
216.66
Day High
216.66
Day Low
677.2K
Volume (0.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)