Pool Corporation

POOL · Industrials · · USD

185.22 USD

+0.00 (0.62%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 21

Momentum 38

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 36

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	40%
Trend & RS	20.7	20%
Momentum	38.1	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	36.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	185.22
Stop Loss	173.60 (6.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	196.84 (+6.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	208.46 (+12.6%)

ATR(14)	5.81 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	11.62
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	61.2	+0.45
Momentum	38.1	-0.47
Quality	59.8	+0.39
Composite	53.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.0	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	5.3	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	2.8%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

117.55

Market Price

185.22

Upside

-36.5%

Margin of Safety	-57.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,276,447,364
Terminal Value PV	2,995,472,943
Total Enterprise Value	4,271,920,307

Assumptions

Base FCF	316,600,609
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	10.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.19%

Recommended Size

9.32%

Full Kelly

4.66%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 23/100. Estimated win rate 47%, avg win 6.4%, avg loss 4.5%. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

43.37

RSI(14)

-3.2784

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-4.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (45d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	43.37	NEUTRAL
Macd	-3.2784	BEARISH
Ma Cross	196.74 / 212.67	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.99x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	336.15
Bollinger Upper	201.74
SMA(200)	212.67
SMA(50)	196.74
SMA(20)	190.17
Current Price	185.22
Bollinger Lower	178.6
52-Week Low	172.68
ATR(14)	5.81

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.39x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	184.88	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	194.57	Base line
Senkou A	189.72	Leading span A
Senkou B	198.47	Leading span B
Cloud	189.72 – 198.47	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	185.22	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	184.50	Bullish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH