PPG Industries, Inc.

PPG · Basic Materials · · USD

118.70 USD

+0.00 (2.36%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:09 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 90

Momentum 62

Fundamental 86

Macro 71

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	89.5	30%
Momentum	61.7	15%
Fundamental	86.4	10%
Macro	71.2	20%
Liquidity	34.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	118.12
Stop Loss	111.16 (5.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	125.08 (+5.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	132.04 (+11.8%)

ATR(14)	3.48 (3.0%)
Risk per Share	6.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	69.7	+0.79
Momentum	61.7	+0.47
Quality	44.3	-0.23
Composite	58.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 4.75 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.0	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	3.3	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	2.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

105.35

Market Price

118.70

Upside

-11.2%

Margin of Safety	-12.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,840,321,530
Terminal Value PV	17,642,315,904
Total Enterprise Value	23,482,637,434

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,244,673,600
Growth Rate (5yr)	6.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

49.09%

Full Kelly

24.54%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

50.61

RSI(14)

1.3908

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (-2.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+10.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	50.61	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.3908	BEARISH
Ma Cross	113.25 / 107.61	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.02x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	133.43
Bollinger Upper	125.64
SMA(200)	107.61
SMA(50)	113.25
SMA(20)	120.06
Current Price	118.70
Bollinger Lower	114.48
52-Week Low	93.39
ATR(14)	3.48

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	1.44x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	1.57x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.02x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	119.45	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	118.28	Base line
Senkou A	118.87	Leading span A
Senkou B	112.85	Leading span B
Cloud	112.85 – 118.87	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	118.12	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	111.39	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL