PPG Industries, Inc.
PPG · Basic Materials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
58
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
58
Momentum
53
Fundamental
78
Macro
64
Liquidity
42
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 58.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 52.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 41.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 112.53 |
| Stop Loss | 106.81 (5.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 118.25 (+5.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 123.97 (+10.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.86 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.72 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 74.7 | +0.99 | |
| Momentum | 52.9 | +0.12 | |
| Quality | 42.9 | -0.29 | |
| Composite | 56.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 16.1 | 18.0 | -10% below |
| P/B Ratio | 3.0 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
107.43
vs
Market Price
112.53
Upside
-4.5%
| Margin of Safety | -4.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 5,897,358,168 |
| Terminal Value PV | 17,985,154,438 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 23,882,512,606 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,239,544,794 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.2% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
38.24%
Full Kelly
19.12%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 58/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
47.37
RSI(14)
-0.9682
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
58
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-5.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (49d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +0.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 47.37 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.9682 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 115.35 / 110.15 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.94x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 133.43 |
| Bollinger Upper | 116.46 |
| SMA(200) | 110.15 |
| SMA(50) | 115.35 |
| SMA(20) | 113.34 |
| Current Price | 112.53 |
| Bollinger Lower | 110.22 |
| 52-Week Low | 93.39 |
| ATR(14) | 2.86 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION B
Confidence
67%
Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 112.66 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 114.06 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 113.36 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 116.89 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 113.36 – 116.89 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 112.53 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 109.84 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 110.22 – 116.46 | KC: 109.52 – 117.16
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 109.21
Anchor: 2025-11-04 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 25.02B |
| P/E (TTM) | 16.14 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.96 |
| EPS | 6.97 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.2% |
| Profit Margin | 9.6% |
| ROE | 19.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 86.94 |
| Current Ratio | 1.58 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.06 |
Trading Data
112.53
Open
112.53
Day High
112.53
Day Low
1.15M
Volume (0.7x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)