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QUALCOMM Incorporated

QCOM · Technology · · USD
237.53 USD
+0.00 (8.42%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 10:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

78
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 89
Momentum 100
Fundamental 89
Macro 65
Liquidity 94
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 88.8 30%
Momentum 100.0 15%
Fundamental 88.9 10%
Macro 65.3 20%
Liquidity 94.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 237.53
Stop Loss 211.21 (11.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 263.85 (+11.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 290.17 (+22.2%)
ATR(14) 13.16 (5.5%)
Risk per Share 26.32
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 33.2 -0.67
Momentum 100.0 +2.00
Quality 70.0 +0.80
Composite 67.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 12.43 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 25.5 28.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 9.2 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 1.6% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
114.93
vs
Market Price
237.53
Upside
-51.6%
Margin of Safety -106.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)32,305,973,376
Terminal Value PV88,829,896,629
Total Enterprise Value121,135,870,005

Assumptions

Base FCF7,850,192,000
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
50.56%
Full Kelly
25.28%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 78/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.7%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
88.42
RSI(14)
21.3536
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS

96
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+65.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Technology)
RS New High ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal
Sector Outperformance +30.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS: Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 88.42 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 21.3536 BULLISH
Ma Cross 143.54 / 156.75 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger UPPER BAND
Volume 1.78x HIGH

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High247.90
Bollinger Upper225.78
SMA(200)156.75
SMA(50)143.54
SMA(20)162.4
Current Price237.53
Bollinger Lower99.03
52-Week Low121.99
ATR(14)13.16

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 3.5  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 1.34x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 1.18x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 2.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.48x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 1.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 199.45 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 184.94 Base line
Senkou A 192.20 Leading span A
Senkou B 184.94 Leading span B
Cloud 184.94 – 192.20 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 237.53 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 125.73 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 99.03 – 225.78  |  KC: 143.92 – 180.88

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 172.25 Anchor: 2026-04-07 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +37.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/QCOM

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap250.36B
P/E (TTM)25.51
Forward P/EN/A
P/B9.22
EPS9.31

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-3.5%
Profit Margin22.3%
ROE36.1%
Debt/Equity55.98
Current Ratio2.37
Dividend Yield1.6%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.49

Trading Data

237.53
Open
237.53
Day High
237.53
Day Low
44.02M
Volume (2.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

Memory chip stocks hit record highs, pharma reacts to hantavirus concerns
Yahoo Finance Video · 2026-05-11
Tigress Financial Partners Reaffirms Buy Rating on QUALCOMM (QCOM) Amid AI Expansion
Insider Monkey · 2026-05-12
Qualcomm China Trip Puts AI And Chip Export Risks In Focus
Simply Wall St. · 2026-05-12
Dow Jones Futures: Techs Fall As South Korea Eyes Excess AI Profits; CPI Inflation Due
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-05-12
Applied Materials makes unexpected AI move as demand explodes
TheStreet · 2026-05-11
Top Research Reports for UnitedHealth, Merck & Qualcomm
Zacks · 2026-05-11
US Equity Indexes Advance, Treasury Yields Rise With Crude Oil as Trump Explores Options to Tame Iran
MT Newswires · 2026-05-11
Qualcomm Stock Is Rising. Why the Chip Stock Hit a Record High.
Barrons.com · 2026-05-11

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —