QUALCOMM Incorporated

QCOM · Technology · · USD

168.74 USD

+0.00 (0.10%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 53

Momentum 62

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 49

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	53.1	30%
Momentum	62.0	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	49.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	168.74
Stop Loss	156.80 (7.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	180.68 (+7.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	192.62 (+14.2%)

ATR(14)	5.97 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	11.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	52.8	+0.11
Momentum	62.0	+0.48
Quality	64.3	+0.57
Composite	59.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	19.3	28.0	-31% below
P/B Ratio	6.5	6.0	Inline
Dividend Yield	2.2%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

108.14

Market Price

168.74

Upside

-35.9%

Margin of Safety	-56.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	30,802,962,578
Terminal Value PV	84,697,153,358
Total Enterprise Value	115,500,115,936

Assumptions

Base FCF	7,484,967,798
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

44.03%

Full Kelly

22.02%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 67/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

54.23

RSI(14)

-0.035

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-26.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (54d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-15.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	54.23	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.035	BULLISH
Ma Cross	168.43 / 166.12	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.94x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	259.92
Bollinger Upper	170.32
SMA(200)	166.12
SMA(50)	168.43
SMA(20)	163.22
Current Price	168.74
Bollinger Lower	156.13
52-Week Low	121.99
ATR(14)	5.97

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	164.42	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	156.37	Base line
Senkou A	160.40	Leading span A
Senkou B	180.18	Leading span B
Cloud	160.40 – 180.18	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	168.74	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	146.81	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL