Rivian Automotive, Inc.

RIVN · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

18.66 USD

+0.00 (3.01%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 78

Momentum 75

Fundamental 19

Macro 71

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	78.4	10%
Momentum	74.6	5%
Fundamental	18.6	40%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	34.3	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	18.69
Stop Loss	16.07 (14.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	21.31 (+14.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	23.93 (+28.0%)

ATR(14)	1.31 (7.0%)
Risk per Share	2.62
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	49.0	-0.04
Momentum	74.6	+0.98
Quality	15.2	-1.39
Composite	46.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.75 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	5.3	2.5	Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

27.96%

Full Kelly

13.98%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

58.68

RSI(14)

0.6472

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+11.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (4d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+26.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	58.68	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.6472	BULLISH
Ma Cross	15.72 / 15.88	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.13x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	22.69
Bollinger Upper	19.51
SMA(200)	15.88
SMA(50)	15.72
SMA(20)	16.64
Current Price	18.66
Bollinger Lower	13.78
52-Week Low	11.57
ATR(14)	1.31

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

69%

Buying Climax Upthrust (potential)

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 4.5 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Stopping Volume	2.21x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-07-08	Normal	2.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	2.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.13x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	17.82	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	17.27	Base line
Senkou A	17.55	Leading span A
Senkou B	16.43	Leading span B
Cloud	16.43 – 17.55	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	18.69	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	18.27	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH