Rivian Automotive, Inc.

RIVN · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

15.74 USD

0.00 (-1.07%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 34

Momentum 49

Fundamental 22

Macro 64

Liquidity 38

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	33.5	30%
Momentum	48.8	15%
Fundamental	22.2	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	37.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	15.74
Stop Loss	14.34 (8.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	17.14 (+8.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	18.54 (+17.8%)

ATR(14)	0.70 (4.5%)
Risk per Share	1.40
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	61.1	+0.44
Momentum	48.8	-0.05
Quality	15.3	-1.39
Composite	41.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	4.2	2.5	Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

24.18%

Full Kelly

12.09%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.86

RSI(14)

-0.0999

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-8.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (44d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-8.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.86	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0999	BEARISH
Ma Cross	16.51 / 16.29	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.68x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	22.69
Bollinger Upper	17.16
SMA(200)	16.29
SMA(50)	16.51
SMA(20)	15.98
Current Price	15.74
Bollinger Lower	14.8
52-Week Low	12.39
ATR(14)	0.7

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	16.17	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	15.79	Base line
Senkou A	15.98	Leading span A
Senkou B	17.27	Leading span B
Cloud	15.98 – 17.27	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	15.74	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	15.22	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL