Rivian Automotive, Inc.

RIVN · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

18.12 USD

+0.00 (8.76%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 78

Momentum 78

Fundamental 22

Macro 78

Liquidity 82

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	78.0	30%
Momentum	78.5	15%
Fundamental	22.2	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	82.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	18.12
Stop Loss	15.38 (15.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	20.86 (+15.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	23.60 (+30.2%)

ATR(14)	1.37 (7.6%)
Risk per Share	2.74
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	50.7	+0.03
Momentum	71.4	+0.86
Quality	15.2	-1.39
Composite	45.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	5.2	2.5	Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

47.05%

Full Kelly

23.53%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

56.69

RSI(14)

0.5654

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+8.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+22.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	56.69	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.5654	BULLISH
Ma Cross	15.67 / 15.87	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.99x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	22.69
Bollinger Upper	19.26
SMA(200)	15.87
SMA(50)	15.67
SMA(20)	16.45
Current Price	18.12
Bollinger Lower	13.64
52-Week Low	11.57
ATR(14)	1.37

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

64%

Sign of Strength Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 3.5 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	1.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Stopping Volume	2.16x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-07-08	Normal	2.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	17.37	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	17.27	Base line
Senkou A	17.32	Leading span A
Senkou B	16.43	Leading span B
Cloud	16.43 – 17.32	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	18.12	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	17.29	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH