Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
32
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
33
Momentum
42
Fundamental (0%)
17
Macro
24
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 32.8 | 20% |
| Momentum | 42.5 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 16.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 66.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 13.22 |
| Stop Loss | 11.90 (10.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 14.54 (+10.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 15.86 (+20.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.66 (5.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.32 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 69.4 | +0.77 | |
| Momentum | 42.5 | -0.30 | |
| Quality | 16.0 | -1.36 | |
| Composite | 42.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
3
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
-0.04
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 3.4 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
17.75%
Full Kelly
8.88%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
50.15
RSI(14)
-0.2833
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
44
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-14.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (54d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -20.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 50.15 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.2833 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 14.2 / 15.38 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.05x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 22.69 |
| Bollinger Upper | 14.12 |
| SMA(200) | 15.38 |
| SMA(50) | 14.2 |
| SMA(20) | 12.6 |
| Current Price | 13.29 |
| Bollinger Lower | 11.08 |
| 52-Week Low | 11.38 |
| ATR(14) | 0.66 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
56%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 2.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.5x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.05x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 12.84 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 13.37 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 13.11 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 14.17 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 13.11 – 14.17 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 13.22 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 14.30 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 11.08 – 14.12 | KC: 11.69 – 13.51
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 12.83
Anchor: 2026-10-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/RIVN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 19.40B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.41 |
| EPS | -2.26 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 38.3% |
| Profit Margin | -45.9% |
| ROE | -54.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 94.98 |
| Current Ratio | 2.17 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.64 |
Trading Data
13.29
Open
13.29
Day High
13.29
Day Low
44.50M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)