Roku, Inc.

ROKU · Communication Services · · USD

125.68 USD

0.00 (-1.53%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 10:52 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 93

Fundamental 89

Macro 72

Liquidity 41

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	98.0	30%
Momentum	92.6	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	71.8	20%
Liquidity	41.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	125.68
Stop Loss	116.16 (7.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	135.20 (+7.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	144.72 (+15.2%)

ATR(14)	4.76 (3.8%)
Risk per Share	9.52
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	10.7	-1.57
Momentum	92.6	+1.71
Quality	44.2	-0.23
Composite	49.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 23.70 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	93.8	18.0	+421% above
P/B Ratio	6.9	3.0	Above

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

37.88

Market Price

125.68

Upside

-69.9%

Margin of Safety	-231.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,009,153,953
Terminal Value PV	3,959,918,155
Total Enterprise Value	4,969,072,108

Assumptions

Base FCF	140,637,488
Growth Rate (5yr)	22.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

56.12%

Full Kelly

28.06%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 89/100. Estimated win rate 67%, avg win 10.3%, avg loss 3.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

64.42

RSI(14)

6.4387

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+35.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (3d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+43.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	64.42	NEUTRAL
Macd	6.4387	BULLISH
Ma Cross	106.49 / 100.26	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.87x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	131.39
Bollinger Upper	132.78
SMA(200)	100.26
SMA(50)	106.49
SMA(20)	120.24
Current Price	125.68
Bollinger Lower	107.7
52-Week Low	67.67
ATR(14)	4.76

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	123.19	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	114.53	Base line
Senkou A	118.86	Leading span A
Senkou B	108.14	Leading span B
Cloud	108.14 – 118.86	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	125.68	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	100.99	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH