Roku, Inc.

ROKU · Communication Services · · USD

155.59 USD

0.00 (-1.72%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 88

Fundamental 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 38

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	98.4	30%
Momentum	88.5	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	37.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	155.59
Stop Loss	151.29 (2.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	159.89 (+2.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	164.19 (+5.5%)

ATR(14)	2.15 (1.4%)
Risk per Share	4.30
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	6.4	-1.74
Momentum	88.5	+1.54
Quality	49.2	-0.03
Composite	48.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 30.90 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	65.9	18.0	+266% above
P/B Ratio	8.2	3.0	Above

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

65.45

Market Price

155.59

Upside

-57.9%

Margin of Safety	-137.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,766,683,072
Terminal Value PV	6,882,317,595
Total Enterprise Value	8,649,000,667

Assumptions

Base FCF	249,481,394
Growth Rate (5yr)	21.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

52.34%

Full Kelly

26.17%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 82/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.03

RSI(14)

2.6552

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+22.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (8d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+24.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.03	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.6552	BEARISH
Ma Cross	148.43 / 117.99	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.0x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	159.89
Bollinger Upper	161.33
SMA(200)	117.99
SMA(50)	148.43
SMA(20)	156.42
Current Price	155.59
Bollinger Lower	151.5
52-Week Low	78.53
ATR(14)	2.15

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	157.20	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	152.37	Base line
Senkou A	154.78	Leading span A
Senkou B	147.12	Leading span B
Cloud	147.12 – 154.78	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	155.59	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	145.01	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH