Roku, Inc.

ROKU · Communication Services · · USD

128.07 USD

0.00 (-1.13%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 10:51 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 98

Momentum 96

Fundamental (0%) 78

Macro 65

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	40%
Trend & RS	98.4	20%
Momentum	95.9	20%
Fundamental	77.8	0%
Macro	65.3	15%
Liquidity	41.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	128.07
Stop Loss	118.09 (7.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	138.05 (+7.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	148.03 (+15.6%)

ATR(14)	4.99 (3.9%)
Risk per Share	9.98
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	15.4	-1.38
Momentum	95.9	+1.84
Quality	44.2	-0.23
Composite	51.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	95.6	18.0	+431% above
P/B Ratio	7.1	3.0	Above

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

37.88

Market Price

128.07

Upside

-70.4%

Margin of Safety	-238.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,136,091,343
Terminal Value PV	4,458,020,223
Total Enterprise Value	5,594,111,566

Assumptions

Base FCF	158,327,709
Growth Rate (5yr)	22.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

57.21%

Full Kelly

28.6%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 91/100. Estimated win rate 67%, avg win 10.4%, avg loss 3.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

69.42

RSI(14)

6.8664

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+37.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 1d since high
Sector Outperformance	+47.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	69.42	NEUTRAL
Macd	6.8664	BULLISH
Ma Cross	105.27 / 99.91	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.76x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	131.39
Bollinger Upper	132.13
SMA(200)	99.91
SMA(50)	105.27
SMA(20)	118.37
Current Price	128.07
Bollinger Lower	104.61
52-Week Low	67.67
ATR(14)	4.99

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

64%

Sign of Strength Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 3.5 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-05	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.76x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	120.74	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	113.98	Base line
Senkou A	117.36	Leading span A
Senkou B	108.14	Leading span B
Cloud	108.14 – 117.36	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	128.07	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	98.20	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH