Roku, Inc.
ROKU · Communication Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)
82
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
89
Momentum
81
Fundamental (0%)
89
Macro
24
Liquidity
78
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 89.2 | 20% |
| Momentum | 81.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 78.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 160.37 |
| Stop Loss | 155.27 (3.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 165.47 (+3.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 170.57 (+6.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.55 (1.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.10 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 12.2 | -1.51 | |
| Momentum | 73.9 | +0.96 | |
| Quality | 52.7 | +0.11 | |
| Composite | 46.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
37.66
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 46.2 | 18.0 | +157% above |
| P/B Ratio | 7.9 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 1.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
104.58
vs
Market Price
160.37
Upside
-34.8%
| Margin of Safety | -53.4% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,765,051,743 |
| Terminal Value PV | 11,116,052,556 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 13,881,104,299 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 368,479,783 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 24.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
52.34%
Full Kelly
26.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 82/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
60.73
RSI(14)
1.5116
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
97
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+9.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Communication Servic) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +9.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 60.73 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.5116 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 155.25 / 128.84 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.83x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 163.57 |
| Bollinger Upper | 162.25 |
| SMA(200) | 128.84 |
| SMA(50) | 155.25 |
| SMA(20) | 156.47 |
| Current Price | 160.37 |
| Bollinger Lower | 150.68 |
| 52-Week Low | 78.53 |
| ATR(14) | 2.55 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
43%
Sign of Strength
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 1.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 158.90 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 156.80 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 157.85 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 156.80 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 156.80 – 157.85 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 160.37 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 151.26 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 150.68 – 162.25 | KC: 152.87 – 160.06
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 5 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 129.73
Anchor: 2026-02-12 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+23.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ROKU
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 23.91B |
| P/E (TTM) | 46.22 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 7.88 |
| EPS | 3.47 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 24.1% |
| Profit Margin | 9.3% |
| ROE | 18.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 13.19 |
| Current Ratio | 2.70 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 2.09 |
Trading Data
160.37
Open
160.37
Day High
160.37
Day Low
5.11M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)