Ross Stores, Inc.

ROST · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

230.69 USD

0.00 (-0.42%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 74

Momentum 51

Fundamental 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	73.5	10%
Momentum	51.0	5%
Fundamental	88.9	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	43.2	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	230.69
Stop Loss	219.33 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	242.05 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	253.41 (+9.8%)

ATR(14)	5.68 (2.5%)
Risk per Share	11.36
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	27.9	-0.88
Momentum	51.0	+0.04
Quality	57.8	+0.31
Composite	45.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 12.25 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	27.9	18.0	+55% above
P/B Ratio	10.9	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	77.0%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

163.61

Market Price

230.69

Upside

-29.1%

Margin of Safety	-41.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	11,920,897,372
Terminal Value PV	40,560,784,148
Total Enterprise Value	52,481,681,520

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,119,721,350
Growth Rate (5yr)	13.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

45.01%

Full Kelly

22.51%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

42.05

RSI(14)

-2.7697

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-4.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-4.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	42.05	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.7697	BEARISH
Ma Cross	234.51 / 212.16	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.49x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	257.00
Bollinger Upper	253.75
SMA(200)	212.16
SMA(50)	234.51
SMA(20)	237.4
Current Price	230.69
Bollinger Lower	221.05
52-Week Low	143.39
ATR(14)	5.68

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION C Confidence

78%

Spring (potential)

Acc: 3.5 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	No Supply	0.54x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-09-04	No Demand	0.49x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	233.50	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	240.75	Base line
Senkou A	237.12	Leading span A
Senkou B	231.46	Leading span B
Cloud	231.46 – 237.12	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	230.69	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	251.07	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH