Ross Stores, Inc.
ROST · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)
68
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
83
Momentum
58
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
62
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 83.1 | 10% |
| Momentum | 58.1 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 40% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 62.3 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 235.23 |
| Stop Loss | 220.79 (6.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 249.67 (+6.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 264.11 (+12.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 7.22 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 14.44 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 24.0 | -1.04 | |
| Momentum | 58.1 | +0.32 | |
| Quality | 57.8 | +0.31 | |
| Composite | 46.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 28.4 | 18.0 | +58% above |
| P/B Ratio | 11.2 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 76.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
163.80
vs
Market Price
235.23
Upside
-30.4%
| Margin of Safety | -43.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 11,885,919,513 |
| Terminal Value PV | 40,441,772,185 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 52,327,691,698 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,113,501,742 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 13.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
44.65%
Full Kelly
22.32%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
52.42
RSI(14)
1.1067
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
82
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-2.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 52.42 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.1067 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 230.81 / 222.68 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.42x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 257.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 243.13 |
| SMA(200) | 222.68 |
| SMA(50) | 230.81 |
| SMA(20) | 232.41 |
| Current Price | 235.23 |
| Bollinger Lower | 221.69 |
| 52-Week Low | 157.73 |
| ATR(14) | 7.22 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 237.30 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 234.70 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 236.00 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 234.70 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 234.70 – 236.00 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 235.23 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 234.10 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 221.69 – 243.13 | KC: 221.94 – 242.88
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 20 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 213.74
Anchor: 2025-11-17 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ROST
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 75.14B |
| P/E (TTM) | 28.44 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 11.15 |
| EPS | 8.27 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 13.3% |
| Profit Margin | 10.8% |
| ROE | 42.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 70.28 |
| Current Ratio | 1.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 76.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.85 |
Trading Data
235.23
Open
235.23
Day High
235.23
Day Low
3.09M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)