Republic Services, Inc.

RSG · Industrials · · USD

222.71 USD

0.00 (-1.07%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:35 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 74

Momentum 56

Fundamental 44

Macro 64

Liquidity 55

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	73.8	10%
Momentum	55.6	5%
Fundamental	44.4	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	55.0	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	222.71
Stop Loss	214.83 (3.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	230.59 (+3.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	238.47 (+7.1%)

ATR(14)	3.94 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	7.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	43.3	-0.27
Momentum	55.6	+0.23
Quality	35.4	-0.58
Composite	44.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	31.6	18.0	+75% above
P/B Ratio	5.7	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.2%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

97.48

Market Price

222.71

Upside

-56.2%

Margin of Safety	-128.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,654,925,032
Terminal Value PV	22,194,979,422
Total Enterprise Value	29,849,904,454

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,729,490,994
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

38.51%

Full Kelly

19.26%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

56.93

RSI(14)

2.2371

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+1.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+6.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	56.93	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.2371	BULLISH
Ma Cross	217.5 / 214.15	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.11x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	233.42
Bollinger Upper	226.53
SMA(200)	214.15
SMA(50)	217.5
SMA(20)	219.47
Current Price	222.71
Bollinger Lower	212.42
52-Week Low	196.41
ATR(14)	3.94

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.36x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	222.30	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	215.27	Base line
Senkou A	218.79	Leading span A
Senkou B	216.51	Leading span B
Cloud	216.51 – 218.79	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	222.71	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	210.55	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH