The Boston Beer Company, Inc.

SAM · Consumer Defensive · · USD

168.78 USD

0.00 (-1.75%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 20

Trend & RS 34

Momentum 26

Fundamental 61

Macro 64

Liquidity 27

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	20.0	10%
Trend & RS	33.6	10%
Momentum	25.8	5%
Fundamental	61.1	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	26.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	168.78
Stop Loss	156.48 (7.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	181.08 (+7.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	193.38 (+14.6%)

ATR(14)	6.15 (3.6%)
Risk per Share	12.30
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	80.4	+1.22
Momentum	25.8	-0.97
Quality	10.4	-1.59
Composite	38.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 35.45 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.4	2.5	Inline

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

29.59%

Full Kelly

14.79%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

34.97

RSI(14)

-2.3557

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-2.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-0.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	34.97	NEUTRAL
Macd	-2.3557	BEARISH
Ma Cross	180.95 / 203.47	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	0.84x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	264.46
Bollinger Upper	193.89
SMA(200)	203.47
SMA(50)	180.95
SMA(20)	181.97
Current Price	168.78
Bollinger Lower	170.05
52-Week Low	158.68
ATR(14)	6.15

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.29x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	179.41	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	179.61	Base line
Senkou A	179.51	Leading span A
Senkou B	178.76	Leading span B
Cloud	178.76 – 179.51	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	168.78	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	183.20	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH