The Boston Beer Company, Inc.

SAM · Consumer Defensive · · USD

166.66 USD

0.00 (-1.26%)

● Updated 2026-09-08 21:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 20

Trend & RS 34

Momentum 22

Fundamental 11

Macro 65

Liquidity 26

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	20.0	20%
Trend & RS	33.6	30%
Momentum	21.5	15%
Fundamental	11.1	10%
Macro	64.7	20%
Liquidity	25.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	164.75
Stop Loss	152.21 (7.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	177.29 (+7.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	189.83 (+15.2%)

ATR(14)	6.27 (3.8%)
Risk per Share	12.54
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	80.5	+1.22
Momentum	21.5	-1.14
Quality	10.4	-1.59
Composite	37.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 1 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.4	2.5	Inline

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

18.39%

Full Kelly

9.19%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 33/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

31.74

RSI(14)

-3.2604

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-7.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (50d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-5.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	31.74	NEUTRAL
Macd	-3.2604	BEARISH
Ma Cross	180.4 / 203.31	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	0.87x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	264.46
Bollinger Upper	195.35
SMA(200)	203.31
SMA(50)	180.4
SMA(20)	181.15
Current Price	166.66
Bollinger Lower	166.96
52-Week Low	158.68
ATR(14)	6.27

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	1.3x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	177.36	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	177.56	Base line
Senkou A	177.46	Leading span A
Senkou B	178.30	Leading span B
Cloud	177.46 – 178.30	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	164.75	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	186.52	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH