SBA Communications Corporation
SBAC · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
55
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
74
Momentum
52
Fundamental
33
Macro
23
Liquidity
50
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 73.5 | 30% |
| Momentum | 52.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 33.3 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 50.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 193.08 |
| Stop Loss | 178.88 (7.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 207.28 (+7.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 221.48 (+14.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 7.10 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 14.20 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 64.8 | +0.59 | |
| Momentum | 52.5 | +0.10 | |
| Quality | 44.5 | -0.22 | |
| Composite | 53.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
3
/9 —
Weak
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.9 | 18.0 | +16% above |
| P/B Ratio | -4.2 | 1.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
114.31
vs
Market Price
193.08
Upside
-40.8%
| Margin of Safety | -68.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 3,183,584,045 |
| Terminal Value PV | 8,753,719,887 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 11,937,303,932 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 773,595,202 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
36.34%
Full Kelly
18.17%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
62.98
RSI(14)
3.7519
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
83
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+10.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +4.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 62.98 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 3.7519 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 179.75 / 188.62 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.89x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 224.46 |
| Bollinger Upper | 193.58 |
| SMA(200) | 188.62 |
| SMA(50) | 179.75 |
| SMA(20) | 184.29 |
| Current Price | 193.08 |
| Bollinger Lower | 174.99 |
| 52-Week Low | 156.60 |
| ATR(14) | 7.1 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.71x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.7x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 189.59 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 178.66 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 184.13 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 178.66 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 178.66 – 184.13 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 193.08 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 158.02 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
3 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 174.99 – 193.58 | KC: 172.94 – 195.64
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 182.35
Anchor: 2026-10-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SBAC
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 20.16B |
| P/E (TTM) | 20.85 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -4.17 |
| EPS | 9.26 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -2.5% |
| Profit Margin | 34.5% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 0.20 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.97 |
Trading Data
193.08
Open
193.08
Day High
193.08
Day Low
1.08M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)