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SBA Communications Corporation

SBAC · Real Estate · · USD
189.44 USD
0.00 (-1.09%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

50
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 46
Momentum 50
Fundamental 33
Macro 64
Liquidity 42
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 45.8 30%
Momentum 50.2 15%
Fundamental 33.3 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 41.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 189.44
Stop Loss 179.14 (5.4%)
Target 1 (1:1) 199.74 (+5.4%)
Target 2 (2:1) 210.04 (+10.9%)
ATR(14) 5.15 (2.7%)
Risk per Share 10.30
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 65.7 +0.63
Momentum 50.2 +0.01
Quality 44.5 -0.22
Composite 53.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak
✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 20.4 18.0 +14% above
P/B Ratio -4.3 1.5 Inline
Dividend Yield 2.6% 4.0% Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
115.94
vs
Market Price
189.44
Upside
-38.8%
Margin of Safety -63.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)3,265,127,114
Terminal Value PV9,034,260,588
Total Enterprise Value12,299,387,702

Assumptions

Base FCF786,749,410
Growth Rate (5yr)2.3%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
32.21%
Full Kelly
16.1%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 50/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
56.42
RSI(14)
2.0482
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

39
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-13.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance -6.5% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 56.42 NEUTRAL
Macd 2.0482 BULLISH
Ma Cross 182.23 / 190.49 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.89x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High224.46
Bollinger Upper192.69
SMA(200)190.49
SMA(50)182.23
SMA(20)184.95
Current Price189.44
Bollinger Lower177.2
52-Week Low162.41
ATR(14)5.15

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.2x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.07x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.05x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.89x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 188.85 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 182.09 Base line
Senkou A 185.47 Leading span A
Senkou B 182.09 Leading span B
Cloud 182.09 – 185.47 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 189.44 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 179.74 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 177.2 – 192.69  |  KC: 178.42 – 191.48

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish MACD 14
Hidden Bearish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 193.72 Anchor: 2026-03-25 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -2.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/SBAC

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap20.10B
P/E (TTM)20.44
Forward P/EN/A
P/B-4.34
EPS9.27

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth2.3%
Profit Margin34.5%
ROEN/A
Debt/EquityN/A
Current Ratio0.17
Dividend Yield2.6%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.98

Trading Data

189.44
Open
189.44
Day High
189.44
Day Low
668.8K
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

SBA Communications (SBAC) Wins Investment Grade While Profits Slide
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-07
SBA Communications (SBAC) Could Be 19% Below Fair Value As Spectrum Growth Beckons
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-03
SBA Communications (SBAC) Stock May Be 30% Undervalued On Cash Flow
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-03
Raymond James reveals 2 stocks worth buying for the rest of 2026
TheStreet · 2026-09-02
SBA Communications (SBAC) Up 0.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
Zacks · 2026-09-02
Trump Real Estate Stock Trades Show June Net Selling
CRE Daily · 2026-08-30
This Company Just Paid Out $6.8 Billion. Its AI Bill Was 4x That
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-08-23
SBA Communications Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
Barchart · 2026-08-20

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —