SBA Communications Corporation

SBAC · Real Estate · · USD

189.44 USD

0.00 (-1.09%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 46

Momentum 50

Fundamental 21

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	45.8	30%
Momentum	50.2	15%
Fundamental	20.8	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	41.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	189.44
Stop Loss	179.14 (5.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	199.74 (+5.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	210.04 (+10.9%)

ATR(14)	5.15 (2.7%)
Risk per Share	10.30
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	52.3	+0.09
Momentum	50.2	+0.01
Quality	44.5	-0.22
Composite	49.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.41 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.4	18.0	+14% above
P/B Ratio	-4.3	1.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	2.6%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

115.94

Market Price

189.44

Upside

-38.8%

Margin of Safety	-63.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	3,265,127,171
Terminal Value PV	9,034,260,752
Total Enterprise Value	12,299,387,923

Assumptions

Base FCF	786,749,424
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

31.25%

Full Kelly

15.62%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

56.42

RSI(14)

2.0482

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-13.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-6.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	56.42	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.0482	BULLISH
Ma Cross	182.23 / 190.49	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.89x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	224.46
Bollinger Upper	192.69
SMA(200)	190.49
SMA(50)	182.23
SMA(20)	184.95
Current Price	189.44
Bollinger Lower	177.2
52-Week Low	162.41
ATR(14)	5.15

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	188.85	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	182.09	Base line
Senkou A	185.47	Leading span A
Senkou B	182.09	Leading span B
Cloud	182.09 – 185.47	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	189.44	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	179.74	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH