Synopsys, Inc.
SNPS · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
41
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
64
Momentum
41
Fundamental
83
Macro
22
Liquidity
62
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 63.9 | 30% |
| Momentum | 40.6 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 62.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 440.31 |
| Stop Loss | 401.53 (8.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 479.09 (+8.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 517.87 (+17.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 19.39 (4.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 38.78 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25.6 | -0.98 | |
| Momentum | 40.6 | -0.38 | |
| Quality | 31.4 | -0.75 | |
| Composite | 32.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.34
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 77.8 | 28.0 | +178% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.7 | 6.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
176.41
vs
Market Price
440.31
Upside
-59.9%
| Margin of Safety | -149.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 6,666,837,494 |
| Terminal Value PV | 27,140,201,241 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 33,807,038,735 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 867,730,733 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.73%
Full Kelly
12.87%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
43.88
RSI(14)
3.0894
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
84
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+10.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (19d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +0.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 43.88 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 3.0894 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 441.9 / 442.34 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.27x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 539.48 |
| Bollinger Upper | 511.7 |
| SMA(200) | 442.34 |
| SMA(50) | 441.9 |
| SMA(20) | 465.82 |
| Current Price | 440.31 |
| Bollinger Lower | 419.93 |
| 52-Week Low | 362.55 |
| ATR(14) | 19.39 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.7x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 461.27 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 465.05 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 463.16 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 437.52 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 437.52 – 463.16 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 440.31 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 490.54 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 419.93 – 511.7 | KC: 437.6 – 494.04
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 454.36
Anchor: 2026-09-15 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-3.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/SNPS
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 84.38B |
| P/E (TTM) | 77.79 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.71 |
| EPS | 5.66 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 42.4% |
| Profit Margin | 11.4% |
| ROE | 3.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 34.80 |
| Current Ratio | 1.34 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.18 |
Trading Data
440.31
Open
440.31
Day High
440.31
Day Low
2.76M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)