Synopsys, Inc.

SNPS · Technology · · USD

393.84 USD

0.00 (-5.40%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 21

Momentum 38

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 67

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	20.7	30%
Momentum	38.2	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	67.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	393.84
Stop Loss	359.74 (8.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	427.94 (+8.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	462.04 (+17.3%)

ATR(14)	17.05 (4.3%)
Risk per Share	34.10
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	39.9	-0.40
Momentum	34.7	-0.61
Quality	31.4	-0.75
Composite	35.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	69.0	28.0	+146% above
P/B Ratio	2.4	6.0	Below

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

177.97

Market Price

393.84

Upside

-54.8%

Margin of Safety	-121.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	6,725,731,577
Terminal Value PV	27,379,954,683
Total Enterprise Value	34,105,686,260

Assumptions

Base FCF	875,396,168
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

20.43%

Full Kelly

10.22%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 35/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

42.59

RSI(14)

1.4923

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-20.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Technology)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-9.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	42.59	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.4923	BEARISH
Ma Cross	412.61 / 447.19	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.69x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	615.79
Bollinger Upper	449.01
SMA(200)	447.19
SMA(50)	412.61
SMA(20)	414.21
Current Price	393.84
Bollinger Lower	379.4
52-Week Low	366.00
ATR(14)	17.05

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

50%

Buying Climax

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.83x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	422.65	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	420.25	Base line
Senkou A	421.45	Leading span A
Senkou B	419.59	Leading span B
Cloud	419.59 – 421.45	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	393.84	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	388.76	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL