Molson Coors Beverage Company
TAP · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
28
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
36
Momentum
47
Fundamental (0%)
21
Macro
64
Liquidity
37
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 35.8 | 20% |
| Momentum | 46.8 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 21.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 36.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 40.50 |
| Stop Loss | 38.28 (5.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 42.72 (+5.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 44.94 (+11.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.11 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.22 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 91.5 | +1.66 | |
| Momentum | 46.8 | -0.13 | |
| Quality | 3.6 | -1.86 | |
| Composite | 47.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.57
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 0.8 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
14.1%
Full Kelly
7.05%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
46.34
RSI(14)
-0.1504
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
39
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+0.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (27d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +2.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 46.34 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.1504 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 40.64 / 43.04 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.82x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 54.82 |
| Bollinger Upper | 42.97 |
| SMA(200) | 43.04 |
| SMA(50) | 40.64 |
| SMA(20) | 41.27 |
| Current Price | 40.50 |
| Bollinger Lower | 39.57 |
| 52-Week Low | 38.04 |
| ATR(14) | 1.11 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 40.88 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 41.78 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 41.33 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 40.81 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 40.81 – 41.33 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 40.50 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 41.08 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 39.57 – 42.97 | KC: 39.64 – 42.9
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 10 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 15 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 40.34
Anchor: 2026-06-04 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 7.55B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.75 |
| EPS | -11.44 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -3.3% |
| Profit Margin | -20.8% |
| ROE | -19.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 76.03 |
| Current Ratio | 0.88 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.42 |
Trading Data
40.50
Open
40.50
Day High
40.50
Day Low
1.99M
Volume (0.7x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)