Molson Coors Beverage Company

TAP · Consumer Defensive · · USD

40.50 USD

0.00 (-0.17%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 36

Momentum 47

Fundamental (0%) 11

Macro 64

Liquidity 37

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	40%
Trend & RS	35.8	20%
Momentum	46.8	20%
Fundamental	11.1	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	36.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	40.50
Stop Loss	38.28 (5.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	42.72 (+5.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	44.94 (+11.0%)

ATR(14)	1.11 (2.7%)
Risk per Share	2.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	97.4	+1.90
Momentum	46.8	-0.13
Quality	3.6	-1.86
Composite	49.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 1 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	0.8	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	4.7%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

14.1%

Full Kelly

7.05%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.34

RSI(14)

-0.1504

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+0.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+2.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.34	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.1504	BEARISH
Ma Cross	40.64 / 43.04	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.82x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	54.82
Bollinger Upper	42.97
SMA(200)	43.04
SMA(50)	40.64
SMA(20)	41.27
Current Price	40.50
Bollinger Lower	39.57
52-Week Low	38.04
ATR(14)	1.11

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	40.88	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	41.78	Base line
Senkou A	41.33	Leading span A
Senkou B	40.81	Leading span B
Cloud	40.81 – 41.33	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	40.50	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	41.08	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH