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The TJX Companies, Inc.

TJX · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
132.08 USD
0.00 (-0.08%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

30
/ 100
Technical 20
Trend & RS 24
Momentum 21
Fundamental (0%) 78
Macro 64
Liquidity 60
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 20.0 40%
Trend & RS 24.3 20%
Momentum 21.0 20%
Fundamental 77.8 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 59.7 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 132.08
Stop Loss 126.34 (4.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 137.82 (+4.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 143.56 (+8.7%)
ATR(14) 2.87 (2.2%)
Risk per Share 5.74
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 34.1 -0.64
Momentum 21.0 -1.16
Quality 52.6 +0.11
Composite 35.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 8.96 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 24.5 18.0 +36% above
P/B Ratio 14.0 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 1.4% 2.0% Below avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
77.14
vs
Market Price
132.08
Upside
-41.6%
Margin of Safety -71.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)21,506,428,020
Terminal Value PV63,350,094,083
Total Enterprise Value84,856,522,103

Assumptions

Base FCF4,751,887,944
Growth Rate (5yr)5.4%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
15.72%
Full Kelly
7.86%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 30/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
22.79
RSI(14)
-6.0829
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

23
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-22.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance -22.1% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 22.79 OVERSOLD
Macd -6.0829 BEARISH
Ma Cross 149.73 / 153.84 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.98x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High170.00
Bollinger Upper160.43
SMA(200)153.84
SMA(50)149.73
SMA(20)142.41
Current Price132.08
Bollinger Lower124.39
52-Week Low130.15
ATR(14)2.87

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.61x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.96x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.05x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.98x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 136.32 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 146.07 Base line
Senkou A 141.19 Leading span A
Senkou B 148.08 Leading span B
Cloud 141.19 – 148.08 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 132.08 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 156.85 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 124.39 – 160.43  |  KC: 137.96 – 146.86

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 131.93 Anchor: 2026-09-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/TJX

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap145.28B
P/E (TTM)24.46
Forward P/EN/A
P/B14.03
EPS5.40

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth5.4%
Profit Margin9.7%
ROE62.2%
Debt/Equity134.42
Current Ratio1.15
Dividend Yield1.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.59

Trading Data

132.08
Open
132.08
Day High
132.08
Day Low
6.85M
Volume (1.1x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —