The TJX Companies, Inc.
TJX · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
40
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
39
Fundamental
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
63
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 54.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 39.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 62.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 138.59 |
| Stop Loss | 131.15 (5.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 146.03 (+5.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 153.47 (+10.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.72 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.44 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 27.0 | -0.92 | |
| Momentum | 39.2 | -0.43 | |
| Quality | 52.6 | +0.11 | |
| Composite | 39.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.7 | 18.0 | +43% above |
| P/B Ratio | 14.3 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
77.14
vs
Market Price
138.59
Upside
-44.3%
| Margin of Safety | -79.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 21,598,913,529 |
| Terminal Value PV | 63,622,522,663 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 85,221,436,192 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 4,772,322,800 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.0%
Full Kelly
12.5%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
47.06
RSI(14)
0.7585
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
35
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (-8.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -15.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 47.06 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.7585 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 135.77 / 150.3 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.66x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 170.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 149.27 |
| SMA(200) | 150.3 |
| SMA(50) | 135.77 |
| SMA(20) | 142.76 |
| Current Price | 138.59 |
| Bollinger Lower | 136.25 |
| 52-Week Low | 122.78 |
| ATR(14) | 3.72 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 141.88 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 140.00 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 140.94 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 135.68 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 135.68 – 140.94 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 138.59 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 133.59 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 136.25 – 149.27 | KC: 137.63 – 147.89
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 136.26
Anchor: 2026-09-16 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+1.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/TJX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 153.10B |
| P/E (TTM) | 25.66 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 14.33 |
| EPS | 5.40 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.4% |
| Profit Margin | 9.7% |
| ROE | 62.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 134.42 |
| Current Ratio | 1.15 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.59 |
Trading Data
138.59
Open
138.59
Day High
138.59
Day Low
9.30M
Volume (1.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)