T-Mobile US, Inc.

TMUS · Communication Services · · USD

181.48 USD

+0.00 (0.74%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 25

Momentum 44

Fundamental 56

Macro 78

Liquidity 50

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	24.7	30%
Momentum	44.2	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	49.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	181.48
Stop Loss	169.84 (6.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	193.12 (+6.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	204.76 (+12.8%)

ATR(14)	5.82 (3.2%)
Risk per Share	11.64
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	68.2	+0.73
Momentum	44.2	-0.23
Quality	38.7	-0.45
Composite	50.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	19.3	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	3.5	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	2.2%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

167.19

Market Price

181.48

Upside

-7.9%

Margin of Safety	-8.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	42,608,710,411
Terminal Value PV	138,326,037,001
Total Enterprise Value	180,934,747,412

Assumptions

Base FCF	8,155,494,156
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.6%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

27.02%

Full Kelly

13.51%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 43/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.46

RSI(14)

-1.721

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-19.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-8.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.46	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.721	BULLISH
Ma Cross	185.66 / 201.16	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.54x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	261.56
Bollinger Upper	191.74
SMA(200)	201.16
SMA(50)	185.66
SMA(20)	181.34
Current Price	181.48
Bollinger Lower	170.94
52-Week Low	165.66
ATR(14)	5.82

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	1.13x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.54x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	177.81	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	177.81	Base line
Senkou A	177.81	Leading span A
Senkou B	182.60	Leading span B
Cloud	177.81 – 182.60	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	181.48	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	188.83	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL