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T-Mobile US, Inc.

TMUS · Communication Services · · USD
182.77 USD
+0.00 (0.71%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

41
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 24
Momentum 47
Fundamental 56
Macro 71
Liquidity 43
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 20%
Trend & RS 24.3 30%
Momentum 47.0 15%
Fundamental 55.6 10%
Macro 71.2 20%
Liquidity 43.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 183.09
Stop Loss 171.93 (6.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 194.25 (+6.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 205.41 (+12.2%)
ATR(14) 5.58 (3.0%)
Risk per Share 11.16
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 67.9 +0.72
Momentum 47.0 -0.12
Quality 38.7 -0.45
Composite 51.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 19.4 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 3.5 3.0 Above
Dividend Yield 2.2% 1.0% Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
167.19
vs
Market Price
182.77
Upside
-8.5%
Margin of Safety -9.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)42,608,711,249
Terminal Value PV138,326,039,727
Total Enterprise Value180,934,750,976

Assumptions

Base FCF8,155,494,316
Growth Rate (5yr)10.6%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
25.82%
Full Kelly
12.91%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
51.31
RSI(14)
-1.3527
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

23
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-17.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Communication Servic)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -8.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 51.31 NEUTRAL
Macd -1.3527 BULLISH
Ma Cross 185.61 / 200.91 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.02x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High261.56
Bollinger Upper191.46
SMA(200)200.91
SMA(50)185.61
SMA(20)181.21
Current Price182.77
Bollinger Lower170.97
52-Week Low165.66
ATR(14)5.58

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 1.16x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.72x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.56x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.02x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 177.81 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 177.81 Base line
Senkou A 177.81 Leading span A
Senkou B 182.60 Leading span B
Cloud 177.81 – 182.60 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 183.09 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 181.45 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 170.97 – 191.46  |  KC: 172.72 – 189.71

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 177.08 Anchor: 2026-06-30 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +3.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/TMUS

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap197.79B
P/E (TTM)19.40
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.55
EPS9.42

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth10.6%
Profit Margin11.6%
ROE18.0%
Debt/Equity218.57
Current Ratio1.09
Dividend Yield2.2%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.32

Trading Data

182.77
Open
182.77
Day High
182.77
Day Low
83.2K
Volume (0.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

Top wireless stock remains Wall Street favorite amid space risk
TheStreet · 2026-07-10
VZ, T, TMUS: SpaceX Starlink’s Rise Tests Telecom Giants, But This Analyst Sees Opportunity Ahead
Stocktwits · 2026-07-10
Worries About T-Mobile’s Competition From Satellite Companies Look Overdone
Barchart · 2026-07-09
T-Mobile (TMUS) Appoints Chris Sambar as Chief Enterprise Officer
Insider Monkey · 2026-07-09
SpaceX Is Having a Rough Week in the Bond Market Too
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-07-09
Morgan Stanley Keeps Overweight Rating on T-Mobile (TMUS)
Insider Monkey · 2026-07-09
T-Mobile faces backlash over new customer support restriction
TheStreet · 2026-07-09
Tractor Supply downgrade, Five Below upgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
The Fly · 2026-07-09

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —